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Crown Green Handicap

Elizabeth Skurry

Team: Naval ClubDivision: League 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

841

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

14

Matches Played

6

Wins

8

Losses

43%

Win Rate

8.5

Avg Win Margin

10.6

Avg Loss Margin

2-5

Home Record

4-3

Away Record

13%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
14 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 6/9/2017

Only 14 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 14 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

13 May20 May1 Jul8 Aug24 Apr5 May9 Jun-12510

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(40%)
43%
score-0.14→contribution-0.06
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.5
score+0.08→contribution+0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.6
score-0.44→contribution-0.07
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
43%
score-0.14→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
951
score-0.21→contribution-0.02
Weighted Score-0.137
Sample Size Confidence
13%(14/39 matches)
Rating931 → shrunk 991→ adjusted 841
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

6W8L14 matches·42.9% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Naval Club2016–2017League 2146842.9%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
6/9/2017Sandra AstlesH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 2
6/2/2017Kye GormanH5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 2
5/5/2017Roger MorganH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 2
4/28/2017Helen MccallA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 2
4/24/2017Frank EvansH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 2
4/21/2017Colin DraperA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 2
8/8/2016Vinnie RoxburghH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 2
7/22/2016Andy McneeA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 2
7/1/2016Gill SheenA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 2
6/17/2016Joy BrannaganA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 2
5/20/2016Doug WhittyA21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 2
5/16/2016Dave HulmstonH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 2
5/13/2016Tony GreenH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 2
5/6/2016Mark BuntingA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 2
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl1 games · 1W
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundBill BurgessPenketh Argyle21-7WINWON
Cartwright Cup1 games · 0W
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundVal LimbAlbany B16-21LOSSWON

Current Streak

4losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLLW
Last 1030% win rate— steady
LLLLWLLWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Sandra Astles0110%6/9/2017
Kye Gorman0110%6/2/2017
Roger Morgan0110%5/5/2017
Helen Mccall0110%4/28/2017
Frank Evans101100%4/24/2017
Colin Draper0110%4/21/2017
Vinnie Roxburgh0110%8/8/2016
Andy Mcnee101100%7/22/2016
Gill Sheen0110%7/1/2016
Joy Brannagan101100%6/17/2016
Biggest Win
Doug Whitty (+13)5/20/2016
Heaviest Defeat
Kye Gorman (-16)6/2/2017
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
71% → 14%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
9158 known · 6 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-233% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
0-50% win rate
League 242.9%
6W·8L·14 played

Debut

May 6, 2016

Latest

Jun 9, 2017

Seasons Active

2 (1.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

7.0 (14 total)

Seasons

20162017